SENTINEL
proposes; never places a live order
prices: Yahoo Finance (yfinance), cross-checked vs Finnhub · scanned 09 Sep 08:46 Asia/Jerusalem (1 hours ago)
AMBA AVOID semiconductors
Quality 0.04 (worth owning?), Entry 0.34 (worth paying?) → score 0.11 (geometric mean) · rank 111 (5-95%: 109-115, width 6)
thesis-rejected · declared thesis rejection: never profitable through the cycle (median annual net income -27M over 14yr - never profitable through the cycle) - not a price position, so the Q/E grid does not apply
price 63.48 USD · target 89 (+40.8%)
est revision 90d: +1.8% · 12m -24% · RSI 34 · valuation EXPENSIVE
Yahoo Finance (yfinance), 2026-09-09 05:30 UTC, cross-checked vs Finnhub
opportunity score 0.11: THESIS-REJECTED - never profitable through the cycle (median annual net income -27M over 14yr - never profitable through the cycle). This is a judgement about the business, so no price changes it.
⚠ No own-history anchor - this company has only 5 year(s) of profitable history on record, and a through-cycle anchor needs 7. That is a fact about the company's age, not a data problem. The premium-to-own-history check did not run, so 'cheap' here is measured against PEERS only. The score is not penalised for this.
Why the score is 0.11
QUALITY - is this a business worth owning? (quality, growth)
- Quality (ROE -9% (ROIC unavailable), net margin -13%, FCF margin 8%): +0.04
- Growth (revenue +13%): +0.21
= 0.25
ENTRY - is this a price worth paying? (valuation, upside)
- Valuation (expensive): +0.06
- Upside (+41% to consensus target; discounted x0.96 for thin coverage (14 analysts)): +0.29
= 0.34
base = quality 0.25 × entry 0.34 = 0.09 (the RAW PRODUCT, an internal quantity - the score is its geometric mean, 0.29 before penalties)
They MULTIPLY: a great business at a bad price and a bad business at a great price are both refused, which adding them could not express.
Reduced for thesis-fit / disqualifiers:
- never profitable through the cycle (median annual net income -27M over 14yr - never profitable through the cycle): ×0.15
Final score 0.11
📅 next earnings: 2026-12-01
flag: SPECULATIVE: negative earnings
would get interesting: no price makes this a buy: with every price-sensitive penalty cleared the score reaches only 0.13 against a 0.79 threshold. The opportunity factors (quality, growth, upside) are the constraint, not price.
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Not financial advice - you decide and place the trade. Re-verify live price + FX at execution.